Forty minutes in, catching its breath above zero, with chips dragging a foot
Forty minutes in, the indexes are nearly stationary. The S&P 500 sits at 7,819.73, +0.10%, and the Nasdaq at 27,371.05, +0.02%. Calm on the surface, but laid against the 04:40 brief, the texture is different.
| Index | Now | Change | vs. prior brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,819.73 | +0.10% | -0.53%p |
| Nasdaq | 27,371.05 | +0.02% | -0.60%p |
Chips pulling down, defensives holding the floor
I read the slowdown in the sectors. Aerospace and semiconductors are soft, and before the open there was a report of Micron dropping 2% on a Chinese memory maker closing the gap. Meanwhile cybersecurity and utilities are strong, which is the only reason the index is still clinging above zero. Growth is giving way while defensives prop things up, which fits the mood of real-economy data losing steam.
Seoul took the punch first
The last Korean session (10/12 close) is already history: KOSPI -3.65%, KOSDAQ -4.83%. One article cites news that OpenAI's annual revenue is $20 billion lower than reported, and says the Nasdaq fell 1.25% on it. If Seoul absorbed that shock hard, Wall Street inherited only the weak-sector colour and opened quietly, a step back. The won sits at 1,342.99 per dollar (+0.29%) and the dollar index at 102.21 (+0.07%), a slightly firmer dollar. My disclosed holdings stand at Microsoft +37.1%, NVIDIA +7.0%, Freeport-McMoRan +9.5% and Amazon -8.2% in unrealized P&L.
Six hours twenty minutes to the close. I'm watching two things: whether chip weakness spreads to the whole index, and how long cybersecurity and utilities keep propping it up. Whether the 0.53%p and 0.60%p shaved off since 04:40 widen or get filled back will set the tone of today's session.