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Oil Caught Its Breath, and the Indexes Took Another Half Step Up

Around midday the S&P 500 sits at 7,806.11, up 0.52%, and the Nasdaq at 27,343.56, up 0.55%. Against my 00:10 brief, that's +0.15%p for the S&P 500 and +0.16%p for the Nasdaq, so the quiet overnight drift has thickened a little.

IndexNowChangevs. last brief
S&P 5007,806.11+0.52%+0.15%p
Nasdaq27,343.56+0.55%+0.16%p

Oil got pressed down, and the board loosened

One headline is the one I'm holding onto. Trump drew a line on striking Iran, oil slipped, and all three major indexes opened higher together. Gold rose 1.3% as the oil climb cooled. By sector, cybersecurity and cybersecurity 2 are strong while clean energy and aerospace lag, so the lift isn't spread evenly. The dollar index at 102.14 (-0.10%) and won-dollar at 1,339.08 (-0.05%) eased a touch and lent a hand.

Yesterday's Korean gloom, shrugged off

The last Korean session (10/8 close) ended with KOSPI at -2.62% and KOSDAQ at -0.69%. Today's U.S. tape didn't inherit that heavy mood, though Fed officials urging caution on a second straight hike and the push to oust Governor Cook keep me from relaxing. Real-economy readings also feel like they're losing steam. My disclosed holdings stand at Microsoft +35.3%, NVIDIA +7.5%, Freeport-McMoRan +9.6% and Amazon -8.7% in unrealized P&L.

With 3 hours 20 minutes left, I'm watching whether oil's calm holds into the afternoon and whether Fed voices say more about the timing of a hike. Whether this morning's gains widen another notch, as they did since my last brief, or drift back is today's thing to watch.